| 1 |
CRUS ↗
· Cirrus Logic
|
$120.37 |
$290.58–$404.76
mid $355.21
|
+195% |
94 |
89 |
sector wide
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for CRUS
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Filed revenue grew about 7.8% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-03-27 to 2026-03-28), from $1.37B to $2.00B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 5.7 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 17.3% (2021-03-27) to 23.0% (2026-03-28).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $330.69M (2021-03-27) to $636.61M (2026-03-28), a change of +92.5% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-03-25) is 277.3x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 3 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 3 filed period(s)
- The share price is 32.7% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: +5.0 percentage points against a median of 27.8% below the 52-week high across 29 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
- Total debt trend is unavailable (only 0 filed annual period(s) of long-term or short-term debt); it is not counted in the confidence above, and computing it could change the classification.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $404.76
(+236%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=8.34 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=48.5323 · peer_count=23
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $355.21
(+195%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=32.402 · net_debt=-800930000.0 · peer_count=27 · implied_enterprise_value=17001491150.78 · implied_equity_value=17802421150.78 · total_debt=0.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=524704992.0 · shares_outstanding=50117561.0 · cash=800930000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $290.58
(+141%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=6.696 · peer_count=29 · book_value_per_share=43.396
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 94.2
× 40.0% = 37.68
- Business quality score: 89.0
× 25.0% = 22.25
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 92.7/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 29 peers in
Semiconductors (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
33% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.02%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 2 |
YELP ↗
· Yelp, Inc.
|
$20.27 |
$34.59–$69.78
mid $52.18
|
+157% |
95 |
78 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for YELP
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 10.9% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $872.93M to $1.46B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 17.0 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from -4.4% (2020-12-31) to 12.6% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $144.70M (2020-12-31) to $323.68M (2025-12-31), a change of +123.7% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 40.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +26.4 percentage points against a median of 13.7% below the 52-week high across 8 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $34.59
(+71%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.02 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=17.1254 · peer_count=8
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $69.78
(+244%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=17.337 · net_debt=-208441000.0 · peer_count=8 · implied_enterprise_value=3577802016.0 · implied_equity_value=3786243016.0 · total_debt=17621000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=206368000.0 · shares_outstanding=54263621.0 · cash=226062000.0
Methods excluded, and why
- At the cohort median P/B — Only 7 cohort members report a positive price to book; 8 are required before a median is used, so this method is excluded rather than run against a thin cohort.
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 95.0
× 40.0% = 38.0
- Business quality score: 77.8
× 25.0% = 19.45
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 90.2/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 8 peers in
Internet Content & Information (industry), built on
5 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
40% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.16%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 3 |
TDC ↗
· Teradata
|
$29.27 |
$34.42–$153.91
mid $74.30
|
+154% |
87 |
84 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for TDC
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue was roughly unchanged at about 2.0% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $1.84B to $1.66B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 11.5 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 0.9% (2020-12-31) to 12.3% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $223.00M (2020-12-31) to $286.00M (2025-12-31), a change of +28.3% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $455.00M (2020-12-31) to $456.00M (2025-12-31), a change of +0.2% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-12-31) is 6.2x operating income to interest expense, between the 3.0x and 8.0x thresholds. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 22.7% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +12.6 percentage points against a median of 10.2% below the 52-week high across 38 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $153.91
(+426%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=4.77 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=32.2659 · peer_count=37
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $74.30
(+154%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=19.791 · net_debt=-62000000.0 · peer_count=37 · implied_enterprise_value=6847686000.0 · implied_equity_value=6909686000.0 · total_debt=431000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=346000000.0 · shares_outstanding=93000000.0 · cash=493000000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $34.42
(+18%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=5.4219 · peer_count=35 · book_value_per_share=6.349
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 86.7
× 40.0% = 34.68
- Business quality score: 83.9
× 25.0% = 20.98
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 88.4/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 38 peers in
Software - Infrastructure (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
23% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 4 |
PLAB ↗
· Photronics, Inc.
|
$28.51 |
$99.53–$159.42
mid $131.07
|
+360% |
93 |
70 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for PLAB
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 6.9% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-10-31 to 2025-10-31), from $609.69M to $849.29M.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 14.0 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 10.5% (2020-10-31) to 24.5% (2025-10-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $72.23M (2020-10-31) to $59.66M (2025-10-31), a change of -17.4% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $63.95M (2020-10-31) to $42.33M (2022-10-31), a change of -33.8% across 3 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 3 filed period(s)
- The share price is 48.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +5.9 percentage points against a median of 42.2% below the 52-week high across 17 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $131.07
(+360%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.87 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=45.6698 · peer_count=14
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $159.42
(+459%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=32.433 · net_debt=-524215000.0 · peer_count=17 · implied_enterprise_value=8881388372.93 · implied_equity_value=9405603372.93 · total_debt=63950000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=273838016.0 · shares_outstanding=58997167.0 · cash=588165000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $99.53
(+249%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.5214 · peer_count=17 · book_value_per_share=22.012
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 93.1
× 40.0% = 37.24
- Business quality score: 69.8
× 25.0% = 17.45
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 87.4/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 17 peers in
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
48% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 5 |
FSLR ↗
· First Solar
|
$201.16 |
$436.36–$552.17
mid $468.48
|
+133% |
83 |
76 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for FSLR
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 14.0% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $2.71B to $5.22B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 18.9 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 11.7% (2020-12-31) to 30.6% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from -$379.51M (2020-12-31) to $1.19B (2025-12-31), a change of +412.8% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $287.15M (2020-12-31) to $185.00M (2022-12-31), a change of -35.6% across 3 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 3 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-12-31) is 66.1x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 36.8% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +10.1 percentage points against a median of 26.6% below the 52-week high across 223 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $552.17
(+174%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=17.08 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=32.3284 · peer_count=203
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $436.36
(+117%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.558 · net_debt=-2618514000.0 · peer_count=219 · implied_enterprise_value=44277532793.86 · implied_equity_value=46896046793.86 · total_debt=185000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=2385900032.0 · shares_outstanding=107469788.0 · cash=2803514000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $468.48
(+133%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.8785 · peer_count=214 · book_value_per_share=96.031
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 83.3
× 40.0% = 33.32
- Business quality score: 76.1
× 25.0% = 19.02
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 85.1/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 223 peers in
Technology (sector) (widened from
the industry bucket, which had too few peers), built on
7 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
37% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.64%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 6 |
ENS ↗
· EnerSys
|
$175.68 |
$279.93–$369.89
mid $349.66
|
+99% |
81 |
76 |
sector wide
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for ENS
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Filed revenue grew about 4.7% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-03-31 to 2026-03-31), from $2.98B to $3.75B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 4.1 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 7.3% (2021-03-31) to 11.4% (2026-03-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $288.36M (2021-03-31) to $467.52M (2026-03-31), a change of +62.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $1.00B (2021-03-31) to $1.11B (2026-03-31), a change of +10.5% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2024-03-31) is 7.0x operating income to interest expense, between the 3.0x and 8.0x thresholds. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 27.7% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: +4.0 percentage points against a median of 23.7% below the 52-week high across 8 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $279.93
(+59%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=9.54 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=29.3424 · peer_count=8
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $369.89
(+111%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=21.312 · net_debt=-121587000.0 · peer_count=8 · implied_enterprise_value=13218639446.02 · implied_equity_value=13340226446.02 · total_debt=317088000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=620243968.0 · shares_outstanding=36065224.0 · cash=438675000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $349.66
(+99%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=6.445 · peer_count=8 · book_value_per_share=54.252
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 81.2
× 40.0% = 32.48
- Business quality score: 76.1
× 25.0% = 19.02
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 84.3/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 8 peers in
Electrical Equipment & Parts (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
28% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 7 |
AA ↗
· Alcoa
|
$46.97 |
$70.48–$111.60
mid $96.52
|
+105% |
86 |
65 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for AA
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 2 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 6.7% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $9.29B to $12.83B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $41.00M (2020-12-31) to $567.00M (2025-12-31), a change of +1282.9% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.47B (2020-12-31) to $2.44B (2025-12-31), a change of -1.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 43.8% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +26.0 percentage points against a median of 17.8% below the 52-week high across 67 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $111.60
(+138%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=4.88 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=22.8681 · peer_count=52
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $96.52
(+105%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=11.39 · net_debt=851000000.0 · peer_count=67 · implied_enterprise_value=26322290728.96 · implied_equity_value=25471290728.96 · total_debt=2448000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=2311000064.0 · shares_outstanding=263909445.0 · cash=1597000000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $70.48
(+50%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=2.524 · peer_count=65 · book_value_per_share=27.926
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 85.8
× 40.0% = 34.32
- Business quality score: 64.8
× 25.0% = 16.2
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 83.3/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 67 peers in
Basic Materials (sector) (widened from
the industry bucket, which had too few peers), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
44% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 8 |
CNM ↗
· Core & Main
|
$42.90 |
$52.60–$75.13
mid $70.06
|
+63% |
82 |
62 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for CNM
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 16.0% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-01-31 to 2026-02-01), from $3.64B to $7.65B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 4.4 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 5.1% (2021-01-31) to 9.4% (2026-02-01).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $202.00M (2021-01-31) to $604.00M (2026-02-01), a change of +199.0% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.27B (2021-01-31) to $2.15B (2026-02-01), a change of -5.2% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2024-01-28) is 9.1x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 27.4% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +17.9 percentage points against a median of 9.5% below the 52-week high across 10 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $70.06
(+63%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.43 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=28.8298 · peer_count=9
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $75.13
(+75%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=16.882 · net_debt=1928000000.0 · peer_count=10 · implied_enterprise_value=15784670000.0 · implied_equity_value=13856670000.0 · total_debt=2148000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=935000000.0 · shares_outstanding=184443500.0 · cash=220000000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $52.60
(+23%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.7763 · peer_count=10 · book_value_per_share=11.012
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 82.4
× 40.0% = 32.96
- Business quality score: 61.7
× 25.0% = 15.43
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 81.1/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 10 peers in
Industrial Distribution (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
27% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 9 |
ITRI ↗
· Itron, Inc.
|
$91.38 |
$137.10–$238.82
mid $153.83
|
+68% |
86 |
55 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
questionable
flagged
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for ITRI
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue was roughly unchanged at about 1.7% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $2.17B to $2.37B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 13.7 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from -0.5% (2020-12-31) to 13.2% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $63.31M (2020-12-31) to $383.06M (2025-12-31), a change of +505.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $920.94M (2020-12-31) to $1.25B (2025-12-31), a change of +35.5% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-12-31) is 15.4x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 33.9% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +12.9 percentage points against a median of 20.9% below the 52-week high across 13 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $238.82
(+161%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=5.93 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=40.2729 · peer_count=12
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $137.10
(+50%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.558 · net_debt=704125000.0 · peer_count=13 · implied_enterprise_value=6707250769.54 · implied_equity_value=6003125769.54 · total_debt=1724522000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=361420992.0 · shares_outstanding=43786753.0 · cash=1020397000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $153.83
(+68%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.1664 · peer_count=13 · book_value_per_share=36.921
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 85.8
× 40.0% = 34.32
- Business quality score: 55.1
× 25.0% = 13.78
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 80.8/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 13 peers in
Scientific & Technical Instruments (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
34% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 2.04%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 10 |
AEO ↗
· American Eagle Outfitters
|
$14.91 |
$23.50–$43.19
mid $32.42
|
+117% |
82 |
59 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for AEO
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 8.1% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-01-30 to 2026-01-31), from $3.76B to $5.55B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 11.3 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from -7.2% (2021-01-30) to 4.1% (2026-01-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $74.52M (2021-01-30) to $195.39M (2026-01-31), a change of +162.2% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $325.29M (2021-01-30) to $0 (2026-01-31), a change of -100.0% across 5 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 5 filed period(s)
- The share price is 46.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +18.9 percentage points against a median of 27.2% below the 52-week high across 11 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $23.50
(+58%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=1.95 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=12.0492 · peer_count=11
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $32.42
(+117%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=9.022 · net_debt=-288923000.0 · peer_count=11 · implied_enterprise_value=5144623865.47 · implied_equity_value=5433546865.47 · total_debt=0.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=570230976.0 · shares_outstanding=167573333.0 · cash=288923000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $43.19
(+190%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.105 · peer_count=11 · book_value_per_share=10.522
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 81.8
× 40.0% = 32.72
- Business quality score: 58.6
× 25.0% = 14.65
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 80.1/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 11 peers in
Apparel Retail (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
46% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 11 |
HAYW ↗
· Hayward Holdings, Inc.
|
$12.89 |
$21.13–$48.23
mid $28.04
|
+118% |
81 |
58 |
sector wide
confidence 85/100
|
questionable
flagged
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for HAYW
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Filed revenue grew about 5.1% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $875.40M to $1.12B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 6.6 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 14.2% (2020-12-31) to 20.8% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $199.62M (2020-12-31) to $227.32M (2025-12-31), a change of +13.9% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $995.00M (2021-12-31) to $959.83M (2025-12-31), a change of -3.5% across 5 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 5 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2025-12-31) is 4.6x operating income to interest expense, between the 3.0x and 8.0x thresholds. 6 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 25.5% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: +0.7 percentage points against a median of 24.8% below the 52-week high across 8 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $21.13
(+64%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=0.72 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=29.3424 · peer_count=8
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $28.04
(+118%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=21.312 · net_debt=560716000.0 · peer_count=8 · implied_enterprise_value=6508343808.0 · implied_equity_value=5947627808.0 · total_debt=959826000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=305384000.0 · shares_outstanding=212119582.0 · cash=399110000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $48.23
(+274%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=6.445 · peer_count=8 · book_value_per_share=7.484
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 81.2
× 40.0% = 32.48
- Business quality score: 58.0
× 25.0% = 14.5
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 79.7/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 8 peers in
Electrical Equipment & Parts (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
26% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 6.56%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 12 |
SARO ↗
· StandardAero
|
$22.54 |
$32.87–$40.27
mid $34.17
|
+52% |
87 |
48 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for SARO
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 13.5% a year across 4 annual periods (2022-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $4.15B to $6.06B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 4 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 2.8 percentage points across 4 annual periods, from 6.3% (2022-12-31) to 9.1% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 4 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from -$13.98M (2022-12-31) to $234.30M (2025-12-31), a change of +1776.1% across 4 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 4 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $3.20B (2023-12-31) to $2.21B (2025-12-31), a change of -30.8% across 3 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 3 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2025-12-31) is 3.2x operating income to interest expense, between the 3.0x and 8.0x thresholds. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 31.9% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +5.0 percentage points against a median of 26.9% below the 52-week high across 26 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $32.87
(+46%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=0.94 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=34.9659 · peer_count=24
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $40.27
(+79%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=19.72 · net_debt=2214605000.0 · peer_count=25 · implied_enterprise_value=15541371755.52 · implied_equity_value=13326766755.52 · total_debt=2214605000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=788102016.0 · shares_outstanding=330919431.0 · cash=0.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $34.17
(+52%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.1064 · peer_count=24 · book_value_per_share=8.321
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 86.6
× 40.0% = 34.64
- Business quality score: 48.1
× 25.0% = 12.03
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 79.4/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 26 peers in
Aerospace & Defense (industry), built on
7 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
32% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 13 |
WAY ↗
· Waystar Holding Corp
|
$26.51 |
$34.45–$82.15
mid $58.30
|
+120% |
82 |
54 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for WAY
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 16.0% a year across 4 annual periods (2022-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $704.87M to $1.10B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 4 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 10.0 percentage points across 4 annual periods, from 12.7% (2022-12-31) to 22.7% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 4 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $85.20M (2022-12-31) to $283.19M (2025-12-31), a change of +232.4% across 4 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 4 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.22B (2023-12-31) to $1.47B (2025-12-31), a change of -33.6% across 3 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 3 filed period(s)
- The share price is 33.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +10.7 percentage points against a median of 22.4% below the 52-week high across 9 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $34.45
(+30%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.5265 · net_debt=1434085000.0 · peer_count=8 · implied_enterprise_value=8040630833.71 · implied_equity_value=6606545833.71 · total_debt=1495440000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=434007008.0 · shares_outstanding=191748416.0 · cash=61355000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $82.15
(+210%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=3.9993 · peer_count=9 · book_value_per_share=20.541
Methods excluded, and why
- At the cohort median trailing P/E — Only 7 cohort members report a positive trailing pe; 8 are required before a median is used, so this method is excluded rather than run against a thin cohort.
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 82.2
× 40.0% = 32.88
- Business quality score: 53.5
× 25.0% = 13.38
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 79.0/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 9 peers in
Health Information Services (industry), built on
5 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
33% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.13%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 14 |
GIII ↗
· G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
|
$27.67 |
$43.44–$111.96
mid $54.02
|
+95% |
84 |
49 |
sector wide
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for GIII
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Filed revenue grew about 7.5% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-01-31 to 2026-01-31), from $2.06B to $2.96B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin held within a point of 0.4 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 4.0% (2021-01-31) to 3.7% (2026-01-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $58.72M (2021-01-31) to $263.92M (2026-01-31), a change of +349.4% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $507.95M (2021-01-31) to $4.64M (2026-01-31), a change of -99.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 24.6% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: +1.5 percentage points against a median of 23.1% below the 52-week high across 197 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
- Interest coverage is unavailable (no filed annual period reports both operating income and interest expense); it is not counted in the confidence above, and computing it could change the classification.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $54.02
(+95%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.99 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=18.0677 · peer_count=178
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $43.44
(+57%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=11.0975 · net_debt=-398362000.0 · peer_count=198 · implied_enterprise_value=1464226345.0 · implied_equity_value=1862588345.0 · total_debt=8300000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=131942000.0 · shares_outstanding=42876508.0 · cash=406662000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $111.96
(+305%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=2.6158 · peer_count=177 · book_value_per_share=42.802
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 84.0
× 40.0% = 33.6
- Business quality score: 49.3
× 25.0% = 12.32
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 78.7/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 198 peers in
Consumer Cyclical (sector) (widened from
the industry bucket, which had too few peers), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
25% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 1.49%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 15 |
GAP ↗
· Gap Inc.
|
$20.87 |
$41.45–$46.21
mid $41.56
|
+99% |
80 |
66 |
sector wide
confidence 45/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for GAP
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Free cash flow went from -$155.00M (2021-01-30) to $823.00M (2026-01-31), a change of +631.0% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.22B (2021-01-30) to $1.49B (2026-01-31), a change of -32.7% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2026-01-31) is 12.0x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 6 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 27.2% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: -1.1 percentage points against a median of 28.3% below the 52-week high across 11 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
- Revenue trend is unavailable (only 0 filed annual period(s) of revenue); it is not counted in the confidence above, and computing it could change the classification.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $41.45
(+99%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=3.44 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=12.0492 · peer_count=11
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $41.56
(+99%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=9.022 · net_debt=-1353000000.0 · peer_count=11 · implied_enterprise_value=13244296000.0 · implied_equity_value=14597296000.0 · total_debt=1649000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=1468000000.0 · shares_outstanding=351270137.0 · cash=3002000000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $46.21
(+121%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=4.105 · peer_count=11 · book_value_per_share=11.256
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 80.3
× 40.0% = 32.12
- Business quality score: 66.1
× 25.0% = 16.52
- Confidence in the discount classification: 45.0
× 15.0% = 6.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 75.4/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 11 peers in
Apparel Retail (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
27% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.72%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 16 |
DBD ↗
· Diebold Nixdorf
|
$63.49 |
$84.54–$264.37
mid $190.33
|
+200% |
89 |
52 |
sector wide
confidence 40/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for DBD
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.56B (2022-12-31) to $938.50M (2025-12-31), a change of -63.3% across 4 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 4 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2025-12-31) is 3.2x operating income to interest expense, between the 3.0x and 8.0x thresholds. 5 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 5 filed period(s)
- The share price is 30.0% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: +2.1 percentage points against a median of 28.0% below the 52-week high across 47 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
- Revenue trend is unavailable (only 0 filed annual period(s) of revenue); it is not counted in the confidence above, and computing it could change the classification.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $84.54
(+33%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.95 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=28.6568 · peer_count=46
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $264.37
(+316%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
cohort_median_ev_ebitda=20.631 · net_debt=540700000.0 · peer_count=47 · implied_enterprise_value=9515017200.0 · implied_equity_value=8974317200.0 · total_debt=938700000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · ebitda=461200000.0 · shares_outstanding=33946588.0 · cash=398000000.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $190.33
(+200%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
cohort_median_price_to_book=6.6778 · peer_count=45 · book_value_per_share=28.502
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 89.2
× 40.0% = 35.68
- Business quality score: 51.9
× 25.0% = 12.97
- Confidence in the discount classification: 40.0
× 15.0% = 6.0
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 74.7/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 47 peers in
Software - Application (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
30% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|