| 1 |
CRUS ↗
· Cirrus Logic
|
$133.59 |
$328.24–$489.43
mid $425.40
|
+218% |
88 |
87 |
sector wide
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for CRUS
What the filings show
The decline is close to the sector cohort's own median decline, so the cohort — not something specific to this company — accounts for most of what the price did.
The drawdown sits within 5 percentage points of the cohort median, so the cohort explains the move before anything company-specific needs to.
- Filed revenue grew about 7.8% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-03-27 to 2026-03-28), from $1.37B to $2.00B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 5.7 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 17.3% (2021-03-27) to 23.0% (2026-03-28).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $330.69M (2021-03-27) to $636.61M (2026-03-28), a change of +92.5% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-03-25) is 277.3x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 3 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 3 filed period(s)
- The share price is 25.3% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is in line with the cohort: -2.5 percentage points against a median of 27.8% below the 52-week high across 29 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
What would change this classification
- The gap between this drawdown and the cohort median widening past 5 percentage points would move this to a company-specific classification.
- Any filed fundamental trend turning down would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating regardless of what the cohort did.
- Total debt trend is unavailable (only 0 filed annual period(s) of long-term or short-term debt); it is not counted in the confidence above, and computing it could change the classification.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $489.43
(+266%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=8.24 · peer_count=21 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=59.3971
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $425.40
(+218%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=50452718.0 · peer_count=27 · net_debt=-800930000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=40.301 · total_debt=0.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=20661516680.0 · ebitda=512680000.0 · cash=800930000.0 · implied_equity_value=21462446680.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $328.24
(+146%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=42.059 · peer_count=29 · cohort_median_price_to_book=7.8043
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 88.4
× 40.0% = 35.36
- Business quality score: 87.2
× 25.0% = 21.8
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 89.9/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 29 peers in
Semiconductors (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
25% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.02%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 2 |
PLAB ↗
· Photronics, Inc.
|
$32.61 |
$116.06–$205.88
mid $160.46
|
+392% |
95 |
69 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for PLAB
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 6.9% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-10-31 to 2025-10-31), from $609.69M to $849.29M.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 14.0 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 10.5% (2020-10-31) to 24.5% (2025-10-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $72.23M (2020-10-31) to $59.66M (2025-10-31), a change of -17.4% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $63.95M (2020-10-31) to $42.33M (2022-10-31), a change of -33.8% across 3 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 3 filed period(s)
- The share price is 40.7% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +12.2 percentage points against a median of 28.5% below the 52-week high across 17 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $160.46
(+392%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.71 · peer_count=14 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=59.2094
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $205.88
(+531%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=58963698.0 · peer_count=17 · net_debt=-524215000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=42.339 · total_debt=63950000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=11615111904.0 · ebitda=274336000.0 · cash=588165000.0 · implied_equity_value=12139326904.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $116.06
(+256%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=21.345 · peer_count=17 · cohort_median_price_to_book=5.4372
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 95.0
× 40.0% = 38.0
- Business quality score: 69.2
× 25.0% = 17.3
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 88.0/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 17 peers in
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
41% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 3 |
WEN ↗
· The Wendy's Company
|
$7.69 |
$25.35–$25.35
mid $25.35
|
+230% |
98 |
56 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
questionable
flagged
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for WEN
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 4.7% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-01-03 to 2025-12-28), from $1.73B to $2.18B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin held within a point of 0.2 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 15.5% (2021-01-03) to 15.8% (2025-12-28).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $215.39M (2021-01-03) to $242.62M (2025-12-28), a change of +12.6% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.28B (2021-01-03) to $2.79B (2025-12-28), a change of +22.6% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-12-31) is 3.1x operating income to interest expense, between the 3.0x and 8.0x thresholds. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 23.0% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +10.3 percentage points against a median of 12.7% below the 52-week high across 16 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $25.35
(+230%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=0.78 · peer_count=16 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=32.5053
Methods excluded, and why
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA — EBITDA or shares outstanding was not reported, so an enterprise value cannot be converted to a per-share figure — excluded, not estimated.
- At the cohort median P/B — Book value per share was not reported, so the multiple cannot be applied — excluded, not estimated.
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 98.5
× 40.0% = 39.4
- Business quality score: 55.5
× 25.0% = 13.88
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 86.0/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 16 peers in
Restaurants (industry), built on
4 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 6 component(s).
The price sits
23% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 4.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 4 |
AOS ↗
· A. O. Smith
|
$63.37 |
$60.37–$129.58
mid $128.17
|
+102% |
81 |
79 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for AOS
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 5.8% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $2.90B to $3.83B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin held within a point of 1.6 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 17.4% (2020-12-31) to 19.0% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $505.30M (2020-12-31) to $546.00M (2025-12-31), a change of +8.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $113.20M (2020-12-31) to $155.00M (2025-12-31), a change of +36.9% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2025-12-31) is 54.0x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 6 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 20.3% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +10.8 percentage points against a median of 9.5% below the 52-week high across 36 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $128.17
(+102%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=3.75 · peer_count=37 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=34.1796
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $129.58
(+104%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=110047214.0 · peer_count=37 · net_debt=138500000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.373 · total_debt=313000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=14398919512.06 · ebitda=783699968.0 · cash=174500000.0 · implied_equity_value=14260419512.06
- At the cohort median P/B → $60.37
(-5%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=13.625 · peer_count=36 · cohort_median_price_to_book=4.431
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 81.2
× 40.0% = 32.48
- Business quality score: 79.4
× 25.0% = 19.85
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 85.1/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 37 peers in
Specialty Industrial Machinery (industry), built on
7 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
20% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 5 |
YELP ↗
· Yelp, Inc.
|
$26.63 |
$30.02–$52.89
mid $45.85
|
+72% |
82 |
78 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for YELP
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 10.9% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $872.93M to $1.46B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 17.0 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from -4.4% (2020-12-31) to 12.6% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $144.70M (2020-12-31) to $323.68M (2025-12-31), a change of +123.7% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 22.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +5.5 percentage points against a median of 16.6% below the 52-week high across 47 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $45.85
(+72%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.18 · peer_count=38 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=21.0319
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $52.89
(+99%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=54990704.0 · peer_count=46 · net_debt=-208441000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=13.0815 · total_debt=17621000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=2699995437.0 · ebitda=206398000.0 · cash=226062000.0 · implied_equity_value=2908436437.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $30.02
(+13%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=11.287 · peer_count=42 · cohort_median_price_to_book=2.66
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 81.7
× 40.0% = 32.68
- Business quality score: 78.0
× 25.0% = 19.5
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 84.9/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 47 peers in
Communication Services (sector) (widened from
the industry bucket, which had too few peers), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
22% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.16%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 6 |
AA ↗
· Alcoa
|
$46.83 |
$75.29–$115.90
mid $101.80
|
+117% |
87 |
65 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for AA
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 2 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 6.7% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $9.29B to $12.83B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $41.00M (2020-12-31) to $567.00M (2025-12-31), a change of +1282.9% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.47B (2020-12-31) to $2.44B (2025-12-31), a change of -1.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- The share price is 44.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +31.9 percentage points against a median of 12.2% below the 52-week high across 67 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $115.90
(+147%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=4.81 · peer_count=53 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=24.0947
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $101.80
(+117%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=263909445.0 · peer_count=66 · net_debt=851000000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=11.9935 · total_debt=2448000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=27716979267.58 · ebitda=2311000064.0 · cash=1597000000.0 · implied_equity_value=26865979267.58
- At the cohort median P/B → $75.29
(+61%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=27.926 · peer_count=65 · cohort_median_price_to_book=2.6961
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 86.7
× 40.0% = 34.68
- Business quality score: 64.8
× 25.0% = 16.2
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 83.6/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 67 peers in
Basic Materials (sector) (widened from
the industry bucket, which had too few peers), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
44% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 7 |
OTIS ↗
· Otis Worldwide
|
$73.64 |
$109.40–$135.69
mid $122.55
|
+66% |
84 |
68 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for OTIS
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue was roughly unchanged at about 0.2% a year across 5 annual periods (2021-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $14.30B to $14.43B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 5 filed period(s)
- Operating margin held within a point of 0.0 percentage points across 5 annual periods, from 14.7% (2021-12-31) to 14.8% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 5 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $1.59B (2021-12-31) to $1.44B (2025-12-31), a change of -9.4% across 5 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 5 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $7.27B (2021-12-31) to $7.96B (2025-12-31), a change of +9.4% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2025-12-31) is 9.8x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 5 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 5 filed period(s)
- The share price is 20.9% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +11.4 percentage points against a median of 9.5% below the 52-week high across 36 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $135.69
(+84%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=3.97 · peer_count=37 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=34.1796
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $109.40
(+49%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=380669339.0 · peer_count=37 · net_debt=6860000000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.373 · total_debt=7956000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=48504720000.0 · ebitda=2640000000.0 · cash=1096000000.0 · implied_equity_value=41644720000.0
Methods excluded, and why
- At the cohort median P/B — Book value per share is -15.10. A negative or zero book value makes a price-to-book multiple meaningless rather than cheap, so this method is excluded.
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 84.1
× 40.0% = 33.64
- Business quality score: 67.6
× 25.0% = 16.9
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 83.3/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 37 peers in
Specialty Industrial Machinery (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 4 component(s).
The price sits
21% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 1.04%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 8 |
CNM ↗
· Core & Main
|
$46.32 |
$55.18–$78.17
mid $72.61
|
+57% |
84 |
61 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for CNM
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 16.0% a year across 6 annual periods (2021-01-31 to 2026-02-01), from $3.64B to $7.65B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 4.4 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 5.1% (2021-01-31) to 9.4% (2026-02-01).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $202.00M (2021-01-31) to $604.00M (2026-02-01), a change of +199.0% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.27B (2021-01-31) to $2.15B (2026-02-01), a change of -5.2% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2024-01-28) is 9.1x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 30.9% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +24.3 percentage points against a median of 6.5% below the 52-week high across 10 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $72.61
(+57%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.39 · peer_count=8 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=30.3815
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $78.17
(+69%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=187192831.0 · peer_count=10 · net_debt=1928000000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.0215 · total_debt=2148000000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=16561758500.0 · ebitda=919000000.0 · cash=220000000.0 · implied_equity_value=14633758500.0
- At the cohort median P/B → $55.18
(+19%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=10.859 · peer_count=10 · cohort_median_price_to_book=5.0814
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 84.4
× 40.0% = 33.76
- Business quality score: 61.1
× 25.0% = 15.28
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 81.8/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 10 peers in
Industrial Distribution (industry), built on
4 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
31% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.00%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 9 |
SMCI ↗
· Supermicro
|
$31.69 |
$105.15–$110.20
mid $107.67
|
+240% |
88 |
56 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for SMCI
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 45.8% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-06-30 to 2025-06-30), from $3.34B to $21.97B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 3.1 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from 2.6% (2020-06-30) to 5.7% (2025-06-30).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from -$74.67M (2020-06-30) to $1.53B (2025-06-30), a change of +2152.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $29.40M (2020-06-30) to $290.30M (2023-06-30), a change of +887.4% across 4 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 4 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-06-30) is 72.6x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 46.0% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +35.3 percentage points against a median of 10.7% below the 52-week high across 8 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $110.20
(+248%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=2.1 · peer_count=8 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=52.4765
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $105.15
(+232%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=646873027.0 · peer_count=8 · net_debt=-4879609000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=39.994 · total_debt=290302000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=63136486506.24 · ebitda=1578648960.0 · cash=5169911000.0 · implied_equity_value=68016095506.24
Methods excluded, and why
- At the cohort median P/B — Only 5 cohort members report a positive price to book; 8 are required before a median is used, so this method is excluded rather than run against a thin cohort.
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 87.5
× 40.0% = 35.0
- Business quality score: 55.5
× 25.0% = 13.88
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 81.6/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 8 peers in
Computer Hardware (industry), built on
3 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
46% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.21%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 10 |
ITRI ↗
· Itron, Inc.
|
$106.29 |
$186.88–$309.65
mid $193.32
|
+82% |
84 |
55 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
questionable
flagged
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for ITRI
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue was roughly unchanged at about 1.7% a year across 6 annual periods (2020-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $2.17B to $2.37B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 13.7 percentage points across 6 annual periods, from -0.5% (2020-12-31) to 13.2% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 6 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $63.31M (2020-12-31) to $383.06M (2025-12-31), a change of +505.1% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 6 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $920.94M (2020-12-31) to $1.25B (2025-12-31), a change of +35.5% across 6 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 6 filed period(s)
- Interest coverage in the latest filed year (2023-12-31) is 15.4x operating income to interest expense, at or above the 8.0x strong threshold. 4 filed annual period(s) report both inputs.
SEC EDGAR operating income / interest expense · 4 filed period(s)
- The share price is 23.1% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +14.5 percentage points against a median of 8.6% below the 52-week high across 13 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median trailing P/E → $309.65
(+191%)
implied price = cohort median trailing P/E x trailing earnings per share
trailing_eps=5.98 · peer_count=13 · cohort_median_trailing_pe=51.7815
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $186.88
(+76%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=43786753.0 · peer_count=13 · net_debt=704125000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=24.589 · total_debt=1724522000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=8886980772.29 · ebitda=361420992.0 · cash=1020397000.0 · implied_equity_value=8182855772.29
- At the cohort median P/B → $193.32
(+82%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=36.262 · peer_count=13 · cohort_median_price_to_book=5.3312
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 83.9
× 40.0% = 33.56
- Business quality score: 55.2
× 25.0% = 13.8
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 80.1/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 13 peers in
Scientific & Technical Instruments (industry), built on
6 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
23% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 2.04%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|
| 11 |
WAY ↗
· Waystar Holding Corp
|
$23.77 |
$34.57–$81.57
mid $58.07
|
+144% |
82 |
54 |
fundamentals intact
confidence 85/100
|
compliant
|
+ watch
|
Show the work for WAY
What the filings show
The share price declined materially while the filed fundamentals held or grew. This is a description of what the filings and the price panel show, and nothing more.
The price fell at least 20% from its 52-week high while 3 filed fundamental trends (fcf_trend, margin_trend, revenue_trend) held or grew, and none went backwards.
- Filed revenue grew about 16.0% a year across 4 annual periods (2022-12-31 to 2025-12-31), from $704.87M to $1.10B.
SEC EDGAR annual revenue · 4 filed period(s)
- Operating margin widened 10.0 percentage points across 4 annual periods, from 12.7% (2022-12-31) to 22.7% (2025-12-31).
SEC EDGAR operating income / revenue · 4 filed period(s)
- Free cash flow went from $85.20M (2022-12-31) to $283.19M (2025-12-31), a change of +232.4% across 4 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR cash from operations minus capital expenditure · 4 filed period(s)
- Total debt (long-term plus short-term) went from $2.22B (2023-12-31) to $1.47B (2025-12-31), a change of -33.6% across 3 filed annual periods.
SEC EDGAR long-term plus short-term debt · 3 filed period(s)
- The share price is 41.9% below its 52-week high, which is at or above the 20% mark this screen treats as a material decline.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high · 1 filed period(s)
- The drawdown is further than the cohort: +14.2 percentage points against a median of 27.7% below the 52-week high across 9 peers.
Adjusted close panel: % below 52-week high minus the cohort median of the same figure · 1 filed period(s)
Fundamentals appearing intact does not establish that the decline will reverse. Filings lag the market, and the price may reflect information that has not reached a filing yet.
What would change this classification
- A filed annual period in which revenue falls at or beyond 5% a year, operating margin narrows by 2 percentage points or more, or free cash flow turns negative, would reclassify this as fundamentals_deteriorating.
- Total debt rising 25% or more across the filed periods, or interest coverage falling below 3.0x, would reclassify this as leverage_stress.
- The cohort median drawdown moving to within 5 percentage points of this name's would reclassify this as sector_wide.
Fair-value inputs, method by method
- At the cohort median EV/EBITDA → $34.57
(+45%)
implied price = (cohort median EV/EBITDA x EBITDA - (total debt - cash)) / shares outstanding
shares_outstanding=191748416.0 · peer_count=8 · net_debt=1434085000.0 · cohort_median_ev_ebitda=18.576 · total_debt=1495440000.0 · debt_and_cash_source=SEC EDGAR (cited) · implied_enterprise_value=8062114180.61 · ebitda=434007008.0 · cash=61355000.0 · implied_equity_value=6628029180.61
- At the cohort median P/B → $81.57
(+243%)
implied price = cohort median price-to-book x book value per share
book_value_per_share=20.541 · peer_count=9 · cohort_median_price_to_book=3.971
Methods excluded, and why
- At the cohort median trailing P/E — Only 7 cohort members report a positive trailing pe; 8 are required before a median is used, so this method is excluded rather than run against a thin cohort.
How the rank was computed
- Cheapness percentile within the peer cohort: 82.2
× 40.0% = 32.88
- Business quality score: 53.5
× 25.0% = 13.38
- Confidence in the discount classification: 85.0
× 15.0% = 12.75
- Distance to the central peer-relative fair-value estimate: 100.0
× 20.0% = 20.0
Blended score 79.0/100.
Cheapness is a percentile against 9 peers in
Health Information Services (industry), built on
5 valuation metric(s).
Quality used 7 component(s).
The price sits
42% below its 52-week high.
Purification: 0.13%
of dividends and gains — see the full receipts in the
portal report.
|